Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98782d3be7684d873b374468964bd815910caea6b5da22183e13405d1d184577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 10,758$7,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.15 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 39c | 3,118$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.25 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 1,984$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.65 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 1,548$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.67 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 38c | 1,528$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.79 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 1,318$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.63 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 1,200$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.14 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Yes | 36c | 1,192$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 1,013$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…b1f0backed No | 9c | 994.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 39c | 791$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…fa14backed No | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 44c | 618.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 34c | 581.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 60c | 507.31$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf313…9ea6backed Yes | 35c | 480.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 343.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes | 35c | 287.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes | 29c | 286.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 279.95$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 17c | 278.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes | 40c | 276.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 63c | 214.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 61c | 209.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Yes | 42c | 203.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Yes | 34c | 177.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 34c | 160.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 28c | 158.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Yes | 34c | 148$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 130.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 125.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Yes | 35c | 125.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e47ebacked Yes | 35c | 121.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 36c | 120.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Yes | 39c | 108.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 44c | 104.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 102.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 32c | 96.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 69.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…de9bbacked Yes | 36c | 62.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed Yes | 34c | 58.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed No | 60c | 52.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 48.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Yes | 50c | 47.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 39c | 36.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 31c | 35.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed Yes | 33c | 34.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 62c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Yes | 39c | 31.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 64c | 30.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 68c | 23.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…2c60backed No | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 66c | 17.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 67c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: ÍF Vestri O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.