Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bad90087d250516d13e5c563c449714f9602f473e202e40191ed33eb4618894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 2c | 3,755$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 51c | 2,671$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.36 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 1,677$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.56 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…8d35backed Under | 17c | 1,140$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over | 58c | 835.75$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.07 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 42c | 773.31$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Under | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 60c | 586.4$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 76c | 395.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 44c | 342.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 45c | 323.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 50c | 304.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Over | 56c | 297.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 8c | 228.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.11 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 71c | 177.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Under | 57c | 157.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 131.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 64c | 109.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 60c | 97.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 91.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 41c | 69.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 22c | 57.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 51.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 51.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 41c | 46.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 36c | 36.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 65c | 23.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: ÍF Vestri O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.