TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4773…2289backed Under61c5,988$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Over40c5,368$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over26c4,722$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.71050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over47c3,280$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under49c2,556$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.481546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c2,475$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.3720132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over51c1,979$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.463033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over51c1,968$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.976456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over31c1,534$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.862,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under60c1,111$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Under60c1,111$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under67c1,031$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.042,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.414744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c991.95$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.653,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over51c982.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014245.8%65 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over50c827.5$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7538453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c783.82$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5955545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over28c646.48$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.811,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under72c513.15$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.472,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under61c426.41$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.413545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under60c423$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2788048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under60c423$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.271,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under60c423$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.271,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Over50c410$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-86%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Over51c407.1$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.621040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under75c398.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.486363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c361.95$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.671,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c312.16$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.256849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c271.18$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1881440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206726.9%18 W · 49 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over18c225.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6379532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under77c225.48$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8674155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over20c225$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.684025%10 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over50c217.12$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5632436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d7f…4a4abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012242.6%52 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under51c192.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.219451.1%48 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under53c186.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.572564%16 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c180.8$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5977855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…42f2backed Under51c162.75$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Under60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.333348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under77c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick76cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Under60c108.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.471560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+103.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under54c107.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d1…95eebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c92.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1197346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over15c91.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+59.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c86.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8470239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa7…8332backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+96.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c75.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.441,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56035%21 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7488…9cfbbacked Under60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2579354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…362bbacked Under60c74.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over38c73.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over28c62.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2933446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Over48c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over50c54.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3923653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over35c52.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.425933.9%20 W · 39 L-8.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over35c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8345135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over38c41.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.761952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eac…de53backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d9…6c60backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over32c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2923950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a9…3a77backed Under59c37.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ff…f5d1backed Under60c36.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over33c36.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0645…c08ebacked Under59c35.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.66850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0789…f7adbacked Under60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3415…1828backed Under60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33ea…fa08backed Under60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d4…2613backed Under60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d6…5e9bbacked Under60c34.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a4…0182backed Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3726647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Under59c31.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Over50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe91c…0cf9backed Under60c22.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.071070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.573748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under60c20.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3636356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9503…d1f3backed Under60c18.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under61c18.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.036659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.