Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9bdae45fbffe39b34b0faa7880837a6e90a9b29c1d9a1872a95fb56388a09e0

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $62,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,660 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	33c	9,066$3,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,032.82	2,990	42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L	+9.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over	1c	6,250$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over	27c	4,345$1,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,186.64	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	63c	4,160$2,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.54	2,333	41.7%972 W · 1,361 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over	3c	3,664$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.91	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over	5c	2,886$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	49c	2,474$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,252.92	973	46%448 W · 525 L	-4.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	45c	2,157$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.08	1,604	38.9%624 W · 980 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	53c	1,526$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.1	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	64c	995.77$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.48	127	70.9%90 W · 37 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.79	69	73.9%51 W · 18 L	+19.0wins	+0.28per pick	46cpaid	+87.8%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	32c	793.18$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.36	201	32.3%65 W · 136 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over	54c	729.54$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.95	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	+305.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	38c	586.28$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.49	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed Over	42c	476.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-45%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over	46c	461.72$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.65	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+11.0wins	+0.23per pick	40cpaid	+86.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Over	68c	458.37$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.69	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over	30c	426$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.84	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-5.5wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Under	37c	400$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+4.9wins	+0.32per pick	34cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	75c	385.01$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.2	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	69c	346.26$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.28	1,114	35.8%399 W · 715 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over	59c	338.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	51c	336.45$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.52	501	54.7%274 W · 227 L	+20.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	54c	300.22$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.08	814	40.5%330 W · 484 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under	75c	300$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	31c	281.21$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.55	661	50.5%334 W · 327 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	46c	275.67$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.85	324	36.4%118 W · 206 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	55c	270.87$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.12	702	39.3%276 W · 426 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	50c	266.73$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.26	2,167	37.6%815 W · 1,352 L	+5.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	32c	261.53$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.23	694	48.8%339 W · 355 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Over	23c	230.15$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.62	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.18per pick	35cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over	50c	196.68$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.34	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over	10c	195.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over	33c	159.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under	32c	156.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	152	24.3%37 W · 115 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over	10c	115$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under	44c	111.56$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.56	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over	69c	109.93$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.85	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	68c	100.9$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.53	778	55%428 W · 350 L	+23.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Under	31c	96.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.77	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	32c	96.37$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.53	130	50%65 W · 65 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	51c	95.87$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.61	783	44.8%351 W · 432 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	68c	95$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	1,573	55.7%876 W · 697 L	+25.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Over	21c	90$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.57	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked Under	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2272…95a2backed Over	66c	78.72$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.96	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	56c	65.79$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.93	1,033	46.1%476 W · 557 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under	31c	64.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	67c	63.16$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	2,473	33.9%839 W · 1,634 L	-95.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under	31c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5df…da1fbacked Under	67c	59.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+60.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under	32c	55.88$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1486…cef3backed Over	54c	55.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	38c	55.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefe…7ff4backed Under	32c	54.59$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over	69c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c6…bf45backed Over	67c	45.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	65cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	44c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	334	46.7%156 W · 178 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	33c	41.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	26c	40.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	51	49%25 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	41c	38.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	41c	35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	278	46.4%129 W · 149 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under	60c	34.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over	53c	34.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.47	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over	69c	33.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under	59c	33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under	32c	31.46$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Under	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under	45c	29$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	46c	28.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	451	35.9%162 W · 289 L	-19.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under	70c	28.76$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.76	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	42c	26.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-8.6wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	67c	26.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-6.8wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	71c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over	48c	24.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over	44c	24.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked Over	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 3.5this page
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 0.5Over won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 1.5Over won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 2.5Over won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 4.5Under won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 5.5Under won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5Under won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: ÍF Vestri O/U 1.5Under won
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event