Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3912fb5649f396afa48c3702d9f4ee3887c1bebc62896d43147835b5137d11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf622…b1f0backed Under | 1c | 27,998$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 39c | 2,834$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.05 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 64c | 2,353$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 2,324$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.71 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 1,611$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.1 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 1,539$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.52 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 1,274$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.18 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 21c | 891.66$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 46c | 739.3$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 36c | 683.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.37 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Under | 3c | 652.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 14c | 506$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 487.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 51c | 423.53$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 14c | 405.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 14c | 310.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 24c | 282.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 42c | 272.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 38c | 262.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 245$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 14c | 232.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 221.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Under | 10c | 190.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 73c | 189.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 57c | 180.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…e132backed Over | 70c | 141.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 133.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 27c | 114.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6b…709dbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 48c | 76.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Under | 32c | 68.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 57.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 41.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 80c | 37.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 57c | 27.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 70c | 24.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 2.5this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: ÍF Vestri O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: ÍF Vestri O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.