Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Lorenzo Carboni vs Yuta Shimizu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c97b88604b30776dc1d80327e2e25e8ca8666e04a0dcd7116cac4282d541528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shimizuof Carboni, Shimizu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Shimizu | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.39 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shimizu | 61c | 2,361$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shimizu | 51c | 1,928$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.56 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Carboni | 46c | 1,637$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.07 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Shimizu | 54c | 1,576$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.76 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Carboni | 23c | 1,316$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Shimizu | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.79 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Carboni | 58c | 860.3$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.25 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Carboni | 44c | 746.57$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.87 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shimizu | 53c | 671.77$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.83 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Carboni | 31c | 646.78$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Carboni | 20c | 636.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carboni | 27c | 544.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Carboni | 29c | 472.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carboni | 55c | 440.78$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Carboni | 55c | 400.48$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Carboni | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Carboni | 53c | 398.11$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Carboni | 54c | 367.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Carboni | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Carboni | 48c | 308.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Carboni | 53c | 305.59$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Carboni | 46c | 300.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Shimizu | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Carboni | 45c | 276.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Carboni | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Carboni | 52c | 254.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Carboni | 22c | 235.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Carboni | 39c | 223.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Shimizu | 46c | 218.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Carboni | 51c | 216.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Carboni | 48c | 209.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Carboni | 55c | 206.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Shimizu | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Shimizu | 50c | 199.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Carboni | 53c | 188.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Carboni | 35c | 180.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Carboni | 48c | 180.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Shimizu | 48c | 171.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Carboni | 18c | 163.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Shimizu | 52c | 153.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Shimizu | 49c | 151.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Carboni | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Carboni | 52c | 128.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Shimizu | 65c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed Carboni | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Carboni | 53c | 118.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Carboni | 41c | 106$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Shimizu | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed Carboni | 45c | 103.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752a…23d4backed Shimizu | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee1…a1f5backed Carboni | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…0f9cbacked Shimizu | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4baa…5e1abacked Carboni | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Shimizu | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…08eabacked Shimizu | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…2fc1backed Shimizu | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Carboni | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…ba79backed Carboni | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c30ebacked Carboni | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…eb44backed Shimizu | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Carboni | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Carboni | 15c | 97.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Shimizu | 54c | 97.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Shimizu | 48c | 91.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Shimizu | 55c | 90.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Shimizu | 80c | 90.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Shimizu | 64c | 80.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…9918backed Shimizu | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Shimizu | 55c | 76.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Carboni | 53c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carboni | 60c | 67.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Shimizu | 48c | 63.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Shimizu | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Carboni | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Shimizu | 60c | 59.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…899cbacked Carboni | 53c | 58.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Carboni | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Carboni | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…b218backed Carboni | 45c | 54.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Shimizu | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Carboni | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…73d1backed Carboni | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…97b5backed Carboni | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Carboni | 52c | 41.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Carboni | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Carboni | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Carboni | 52c | 38.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Shimizu | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a21…355dbacked Carboni | 51c | 34.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Shimizu | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…c199backed Carboni | 44c | 29.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Carboni | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked Carboni | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Shimizu | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Carboni | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Shimizu | 68c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pune: Lorenzo Carboni vs Yuta Shimizuthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Carboni vs ShimizuShimizu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.