Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa052a19680c4e26c35eb1a43750ea122d059468433d76a743fc722de368f3da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 24,918$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.62 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…7fdcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,871$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed Yes | 0c | 10,019$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,690$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Yes | 3c | 6,657$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 5,922$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.57 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 5,666$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.29 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,216$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.69 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 6c | 3,250$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 17c | 2,775$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.77 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 6c | 2,587$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 36c | 2,292$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 9c | 2,267$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 2c | 2,016$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 79c | 1,727$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ad…e057backed Yes | 1c | 1,690$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Yes | 6c | 1,568$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Yes | 6c | 1,546$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 24c | 1,263$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…8b9ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,205$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,016$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 4c | 867.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 19c | 728.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 15c | 665$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 21c | 660.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…d040backed Yes | 6c | 569.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Yes | 10c | 567.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Yes | 7c | 530.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 51c | 472.43$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.86 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…e4f8backed Yes | 20c | 363.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…f810backed Yes | 7c | 358.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 343.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 22c | 327$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes | 21c | 299.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 5c | 280.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Yes | 11c | 274.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315e…9b06backed Yes | 7c | 256.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 7c | 220.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Yes | 9c | 193$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 190.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 7c | 184.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 10c | 179.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 15c | 152.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…a202backed Yes | 20c | 151.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 20c | 54.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…4bbdbacked No | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed No | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…e840backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.