Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x405cd28d17ac1fba39dcdedfd2473f37c6f7b479b016a6c92b1edcec181378a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,169 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 49c | 4,698$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 39c | 2,441$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 1,363$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.47 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 763.03$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.29 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 655.15$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.26 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 58c | 629.49$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…4befbacked Over | 61c | 327.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 19c | 265.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 25c | 256$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Over | 33c | 196$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 186.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 10c | 155.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 146$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 61c | 142.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 40c | 135$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 60c | 135$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 65c | 102.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 37c | 91.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 68c | 68.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 66c | 63.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 39c | 49.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 48.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 47.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Over | 52c | 46.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 66c | 46.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 53c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Over | 50c | 36.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Under | 42c | 35.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 34.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 43c | 33.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 31.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 37c | 31.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Under | 43c | 30.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…5e54backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 58c | 27.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Under | 43c | 27.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 53c | 26.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 67c | 23.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Over | 55c | 23.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 58c | 20.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.