Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb40f1c003f20099205b920197622b0d1f9a17d8c3b8527b69effe3f51ae69ee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,082 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,827$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,258$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 390.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.85 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 59c | 315.33$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 52c | 288.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 184.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 58c | 135.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 125.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…cc23backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 104.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 104.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 96.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 95.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 57c | 93.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 64c | 93.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 48c | 78.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 73.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 43c | 69.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 68.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 17c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 40c | 58.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…89d7backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 57c | 50.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 55c | 44.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…80aebacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked No | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…2e75backed Yes | 58c | 18.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.