Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x398f5a5d9ae17280e749f50fa88aa3bb1b7d13bb3267c4ec7b3dfa433932ab26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,426 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 19c | 3,900$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 1,956$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.97 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 21c | 968.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 18c | 623.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 79c | 531.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 438.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 72c | 315.4$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…8f5abacked Under | 21c | 284.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…f744backed Over | 79c | 284.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 221.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 21c | 200.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 38c | 198.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…16a1backed Over | 71c | 92.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 71c | 83.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 19c | 81.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 22c | 81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 19c | 52.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…72acbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.