Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9607bf65da66cc3f56a89a7710585de1d02455136237f6e5e5f1eeab001ab69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,319 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 51c | 2,337$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.22 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,001$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 1,828$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.74 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,729$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.82 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 54c | 1,466$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 56c | 833.27$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.3 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 595.79$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 47c | 558.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.65 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 474.84$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.96 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 50c | 335.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.85 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 288.11$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 50c | 269.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 50c | 234.06$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 221.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 54c | 158.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…0ddbbacked Over | 65c | 152.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 49c | 130.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 36c | 129.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…41d1backed Over | 51c | 118.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 100.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 97.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Over | 58c | 95.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 77.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 51c | 74.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Over | 44c | 69.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 66.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 45c | 65.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 51c | 57.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 38.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 34c | 37.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 56c | 33.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 149.5this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan WolverinesPurdue Boilermakers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 148.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 150.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 152.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 153.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 154.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-4.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.