Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dfadc6e21a858aeed6c452fc611dc3e64aed66a26cbd7fb9adf99c259c53c12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Michigan Wolverines, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,059 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 9,997$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.61 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 4,673$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan Wolverines | 35c | 4,199$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.6 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 55c | 2,916$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.17 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 2,367$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.08 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 1,861$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.89 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 1,769$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.02 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 1,261$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.82 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 999.99$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Michigan Wolverines | 44c | 996.4$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.7 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Purdue Boilermakers | 59c | 841.51$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.74 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 799.94$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.13 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…37f3backed Purdue Boilermakers | 62c | 798.73$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Michigan Wolverines | 37c | 581.86$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.91 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 574.47$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.27 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 396.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 394.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.22 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 291.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Purdue Boilermakers | 55c | 255$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Michigan Wolverines | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 210.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…0b37backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 206.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 201.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 198.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 193.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…17f1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Purdue Boilermakers | 57c | 127.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Michigan Wolverines | 28c | 108.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 97.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines | 44c | 90.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Purdue Boilermakers | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Purdue Boilermakers | 57c | 86.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 79.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Purdue Boilermakers | 65c | 67.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 59.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 55c | 50.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 65c | 47.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Purdue Boilermakers | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…017dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 32.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Michigan Wolverines | 37c | 32.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 31.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…f059backed Purdue Boilermakers | 59c | 29.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 28.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…996ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 28.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michigan Wolverines | 42c | 27.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed Purdue Boilermakers | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 24.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Boilermakers | 58c | 21.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…98d5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan WolverinesPurdue Boilermakers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 148.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 149.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 150.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 152.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 153.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 154.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-4.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.