Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82a4879d38faf31f99aa0c02421ccd17db179f4c549b7d67364a1536e92bd05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Michigan Wolverines, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,893 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 3,965$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.56 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 3,503$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.71 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.83 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 2,419$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 1,029$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.11 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 568.06$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Purdue Boilermakers | 56c | 534$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Michigan Wolverines | 44c | 404.33$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 269.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 238.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 233.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 200.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 199.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 159.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 151.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 148.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 148.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 77.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 68.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 59.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 58.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 58.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 57.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 40.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 37.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…cbbebacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 36.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 33.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 29.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…9947backed Michigan Wolverines | 38c | 27.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 26.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 25.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan WolverinesPurdue Boilermakers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 148.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 149.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 150.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 152.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 153.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 154.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-4.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.