TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

CSUN Matadors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UC Irvine Anteatersof CSUN Matadors, UC Irvine Anteaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,928 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe790…eadcbacked UC Irvine Anteaters65c12,463$8,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.7718954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed CSUN Matadors37c7,880$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.6715453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed CSUN Matadors36c7,786$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.999244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters63c5,907$3,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.182,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed CSUN Matadors37c4,959$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.9110648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters64c4,444$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.942,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked CSUN Matadors17c3,317$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.195,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked CSUN Matadors26c2,116$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.361,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked CSUN Matadors17c1,776$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9926945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UC Irvine Anteaters69c1,324$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.43,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked CSUN Matadors36c1,086$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.021,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed UC Irvine Anteaters64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked CSUN Matadors13c738.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed CSUN Matadors36c557.47$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6378052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters66c497.63$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.197871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UC Irvine Anteaters77c497.24$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.943,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UC Irvine Anteaters64c484.78$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.171,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed CSUN Matadors36c386.39$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.11,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters64c315.39$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5474152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked CSUN Matadors34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed CSUN Matadors12c270.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5153635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed UC Irvine Anteaters64c258.9$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.222043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked CSUN Matadors16c235.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.610638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed CSUN Matadors34c206.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1422349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked CSUN Matadors37c198.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.42,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked CSUN Matadors36c192.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2850548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed CSUN Matadors6c190.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed CSUN Matadors36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5424432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed CSUN Matadors35c136.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.697044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed UC Irvine Anteaters65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed UC Irvine Anteaters64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3649157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters67c99.23$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.745269.2%36 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked CSUN Matadors28c96.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked UC Irvine Anteaters66c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.633445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed UC Irvine Anteaters63c79.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.592955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.924,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked CSUN Matadors35c76.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7450745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed UC Irvine Anteaters64c71.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8882846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed CSUN Matadors35c69.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.499845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed CSUN Matadors35c56.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7930050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked CSUN Matadors35c56.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7948551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked CSUN Matadors35c56.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7924148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed CSUN Matadors35c56.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7932850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed CSUN Matadors37c56.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.833951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed CSUN Matadors28c52.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed CSUN Matadors36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked UC Irvine Anteaters64c49.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters66c37.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed CSUN Matadors36c27.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.