Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e307f974e56442759ae0c238e421259e55a8094fd285758d83af1b77c311c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Irvine Anteatersof UC Irvine Anteaters, CSUN Matadors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,390 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed CSUN Matadors | 53c | 11,122$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.72 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 6,904$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.56 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 3,155$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 1,951$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.99 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked CSUN Matadors | 51c | 1,256$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.61 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…78b1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 59c | 1,010$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 65c | 305.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked CSUN Matadors | 34c | 236.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed CSUN Matadors | 30c | 234.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed CSUN Matadors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CSUN Matadors | 30c | 185.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CSUN Matadors | 53c | 151.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CSUN Matadors | 52c | 129.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed CSUN Matadors | 50c | 128.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 115.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 90.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 77.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed CSUN Matadors | 32c | 77.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed CSUN Matadors | 53c | 56.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked CSUN Matadors | 52c | 47.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed CSUN Matadors | 53c | 24.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked CSUN Matadors | 50c | 24.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed CSUN Matadors | 52c | 19.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-4.5)this page
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Irvine AnteatersUC Irvine Anteaters won
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 149.5Over won
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 151.5Over won
- CSUN Matadors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.