MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Panama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x857b1a79814e63d183c861aeaae3bc896b9d55e9ce6b10cc4911503d089558a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Puerto Ricoof Puerto Rico, Panama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,527 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Panama | 18c | 20,426$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Panama | 40c | 13,126$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.14 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Puerto Rico | 61c | 9,074$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.29 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Puerto Rico | 65c | 4,587$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.22 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panama | 16c | 2,461$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.68 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Puerto Rico | 60c | 1,774$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.47 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Panama | 43c | 1,581$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.97 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…63d5backed Puerto Rico | 66c | 1,380$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Panama | 17c | 1,248$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Panama | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Puerto Rico | 48c | 1,042$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Puerto Rico | 78c | 983.52$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Panama | 11c | 966.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Puerto Rico | 61c | 927.18$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panama | 26c | 872.27$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Puerto Rico | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Puerto Rico | 33c | 634.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Panama | 46c | 630.91$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.73 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Panama | 15c | 552.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Panama | 42c | 512.76$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.51 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Panama | 50c | 475$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panama | 50c | 442.4$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Panama | 47c | 405.1$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Puerto Rico | 76c | 396.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Puerto Rico | 28c | 360$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Panama | 42c | 360$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Panama | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Puerto Rico | 45c | 333.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Panama | 46c | 324$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Puerto Rico | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd844…da79backed Panama | 67c | 300$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Panama | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Panama | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Panama | 45c | 292.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Panama | 51c | 288$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Puerto Rico | 56c | 270$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Panama | 44c | 268$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…1050backed Panama | 52c | 235.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…4977backed Puerto Rico | 66c | 234.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Panama | 48c | 227$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…d620backed Panama | 75c | 226.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Panama | 48c | 206.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd2…97f8backed Panama | 35c | 202.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…17e9backed Puerto Rico | 75c | 201.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Panama | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Puerto Rico | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Panama | 41c | 173$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Panama | 42c | 167.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Panama | 20c | 164$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panama | 44c | 161.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Puerto Rico | 59c | 158.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Puerto Rico | 46c | 153.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…0314backed Panama | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Panama | 25c | 137.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Panama | 20c | 133.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Puerto Rico | 71c | 129.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Panama | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…7f81backed Panama | 74c | 117.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Panama | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Panama | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Puerto Rico | 44c | 105.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…1438backed Panama | 38c | 104.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…c640backed Puerto Rico | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…02a3backed Panama | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked Panama | 18c | 98.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Puerto Rico | 71c | 70.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Puerto Rico | 60c | 68.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…7c9abacked Panama | 61c | 64.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Puerto Rico | 61c | 62.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Panama | 41c | 62.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Puerto Rico | 40c | 53.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…75abbacked Puerto Rico | 60c | 51.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Panama | 27c | 50.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Panama | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51f…b4cdbacked Panama | 35c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…826cbacked Panama | 32c | 43.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Panama | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…7a1ebacked Panama | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Panama | 33c | 35.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed Puerto Rico | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…1619backed Puerto Rico | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +513.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Panama | 40c | 26.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…96f2backed Panama | 53c | 25.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Puerto Rico | 61c | 23.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Puerto Rico | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…9914backed Puerto Rico | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Puerto Rico | 56c | 17.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed Panama | 75c | 14.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.