Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e7970020719e88bdb0a7deeee996753debc1833e64490fbb7b63b38bd8c26eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof Missouri State Bears, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,627 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Missouri State Bears | 8c | 16,003$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 6,694$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.06 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Missouri State Bears | 51c | 4,500$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Missouri State Bears | 53c | 3,754$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.94 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 2,636$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.65 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Missouri State Bears | 15c | 2,553$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 2,426$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.93 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 65c | 2,004$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Missouri State Bears | 44c | 1,957$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.08 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Missouri State Bears | 52c | 1,895$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.27 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Missouri State Bears | 51c | 1,875$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.25 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Missouri State Bears | 53c | 1,845$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.74 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 58c | 1,737$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.14 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri State Bears | 15c | 1,195$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.63 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Missouri State Bears | 45c | 1,113$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.68 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Missouri State Bears | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 55c | 866.24$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Missouri State Bears | 7c | 741.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 509.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.51 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Missouri State Bears | 38c | 493.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Missouri State Bears | 7c | 484.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 466.57$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.47 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Missouri State Bears | 7c | 460.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 48c | 454.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.17 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 46c | 425.27$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 404.59$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.29 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Missouri State Bears | 29c | 395.09$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 56c | 350.16$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 64c | 321.82$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Missouri State Bears | 15c | 298.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri State Bears | 27c | 252.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 242.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 80c | 217.01$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Missouri State Bears | 23c | 216.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Missouri State Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Missouri State Bears | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 58c | 172.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Missouri State Bears | 24c | 166.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Missouri State Bears | 53c | 164.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 69c | 158.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Missouri State Bears | 24c | 129.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 72c | 113.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 112.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 46c | 106.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Missouri State Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Missouri State Bears | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 41c | 75.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 64c | 72.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…f4d3backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 68.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 63.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 71c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Missouri State Bears | 59c | 60.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…849abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 57.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Missouri State Bears | 43c | 56.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 76c | 51.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…9ad4backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 47.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 57c | 46.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 76c | 38.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 30.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…acdfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 51c | 27.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…5a35backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 56c | 24.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 75c | 23.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 21.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 58c | 20.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 61c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7d…b088backed Missouri State Bears | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Missouri State Bears | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsthis page
- Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 134.5Over won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-1.5)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-2.5)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won
- Spread: Missouri State Bears (-3.5)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.