Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafb455a59296be3ef1ddae2c0d35a62ddda88198811ead667cad0e68c45d98a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 48c | 7,784$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.49 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 62c | 7,747$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.8 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 38c | 3,574$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 2,752$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…dfc2backed No | 50c | 1,670$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 41c | 1,625$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.13 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 33c | 1,590$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.45 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 37c | 1,583$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.95 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 73c | 1,575$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.72 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 1,231$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.76 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 65c | 1,186$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 47c | 1,078$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.81 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…f788backed No | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 36c | 723.93$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.91 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…209cbacked No | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 683$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.14 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 53c | 640.13$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 34c | 502.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Yes | 42c | 465.31$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 49c | 462.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 51c | 439.44$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.55 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 429.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 4c | 407.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…8e86backed Yes | 38c | 403.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 55c | 394.95$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 48c | 340$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…a674backed Yes | 37c | 333.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 55c | 320.16$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…e42dbacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…75cbbacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…2f06backed No | 40c | 280$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 55c | 279$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 278.37$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 69c | 271.59$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 250 | 30.8%77 W · 173 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 40c | 267.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 51c | 264.53$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 253.17$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 242.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 57c | 238.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 31c | 233.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…890abacked No | 41c | 220$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 46c | 200.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 20c | 182$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 62c | 175.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 63c | 163.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 26c | 161.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 63c | 160.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…1d56backed No | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 157.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 38c | 157.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.73 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 67c | 149.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 65c | 149.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed No | 69c | 149$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 62c | 141.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 40c | 125.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…2b63backed Yes | 64c | 124.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 115.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec4…21a1backed No | 41c | 107.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 54c | 106.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 104.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked No | 66c | 103$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…c31fbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 97.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 97.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 41c | 94.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 75c | 93.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 66c | 91.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…b434backed Yes | 44c | 91.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 52c | 90.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed No | 51c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 44c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 35c | 83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 61c | 82.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 60c | 73.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 41c | 69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 45c | 68.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…395abacked Yes | 59c | 68.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked Yes | 38c | 66.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 52c | 65.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked Yes | 73c | 64.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 41c | 62.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…db2bbacked No | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 51c | 60.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…e27abacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?this page
- Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.