Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf14bd5268a24f7203dee8bfa046df7f935ce76eb75cea6ee6beb96b819b82f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 77c | 6,533$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 4,251$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 77c | 2,592$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 17c | 1,362$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.61 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 360$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 29c | 355$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 30c | 297.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 30c | 251.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 75c | 226.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 76c | 198.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 149.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 73c | 122.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 30c | 102.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Yes | 74c | 96.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…f09abacked Yes | 75c | 92.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 88.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 73c | 76.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…254cbacked Yes | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…6c10backed Yes | 78c | 70.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 61cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…b75bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 73c | 54.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 28c | 52.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…330ebacked Yes | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 50.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 73c | 45.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…ba06backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…8d5abacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…f83abacked Yes | 75c | 34.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Yes | 72c | 29.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffce…c93cbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…b853backed Yes | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…7723backed Yes | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…7463backed Yes | 71c | 23.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 72c | 20.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…a229backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28?this page
- Will Brentford FC vs. Grimsby Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2025-10-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.