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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Duquesne Dukes vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Joseph's Hawksof Duquesne Dukes, Saint Joseph's Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$434,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Duquesne Dukes52c370,132$193,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,783.876245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Saint Joseph's Hawks42c253,382$106,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,961.89652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks64c74,868$47,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,959.6969142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks42c13,735$5,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.0812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks58c3,974$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.135,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Saint Joseph's Hawks64c3,561$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.091,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks49c2,189$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.4915861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Duquesne Dukes43c2,161$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.151,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Saint Joseph's Hawks68c1,619$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.8213851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85520026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Saint Joseph's Hawks40c1,294$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.3660548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Duquesne Dukes33c1,278$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.162,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Saint Joseph's Hawks59c1,222$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0211958.8%70 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Duquesne Dukes60c1,040$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.451,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c833$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.485354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saint Joseph's Hawks43c822$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.85,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Duquesne Dukes58c801.3$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7529845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks43c723.13$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.944,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks42c683$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.142,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Saint Joseph's Hawks51c682.51$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.179056.7%51 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks45c667.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.332653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Saint Joseph's Hawks56c638.9$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.843,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3482,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Saint Joseph's Hawks50c593.54$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.077844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Duquesne Dukes28c592.4$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5336942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Duquesne Dukes56c585.98$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.562755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c517.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.842941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17014150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Saint Joseph's Hawks57c469.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…6f35backed Saint Joseph's Hawks68c453.47$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks58c419.75$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.172,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2246848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Duquesne Dukes7c300$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Duquesne Dukes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Joseph's Hawks59c249.15$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.154,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…89c2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks69c239.05$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2750546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Duquesne Dukes52c221$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9215356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff32…5f58backed Saint Joseph's Hawks68c217.76$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+95.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Duquesne Dukes49c204.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c202.09$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.175466.7%36 W · 18 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks54c201.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.521,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Saint Joseph's Hawks43c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked Duquesne Dukes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203312.1%4 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks35c186$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.771,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c166$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.242,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Duquesne Dukes36c163.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.242327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Saint Joseph's Hawks55c152.53$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1415844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks46c145.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks62c140$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0932343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Saint Joseph's Hawks40c139.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.682,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Saint Joseph's Hawks51c139$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5145644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Duquesne Dukes58c135.22$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.43520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Duquesne Dukes59c116$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.445942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Duquesne Dukes60c112.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.552928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Duquesne Dukes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4b…f574backed Duquesne Dukes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Duquesne Dukes31c96.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0334649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Duquesne Dukes61c86.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Duquesne Dukes61c85.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.214846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Duquesne Dukes58c85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.35337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Saint Joseph's Hawks42c79.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.111,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…d9f6backed Duquesne Dukes50c70.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Duquesne Dukes59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.33855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Duquesne Dukes62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.915250%76 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Duquesne Dukes60c59.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6449043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Saint Joseph's Hawks62c55.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824360.5%26 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Duquesne Dukes58c54.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.673,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Duquesne Dukes56c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1216952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c51.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.072,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Saint Joseph's Hawks44c49.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.634443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.842860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Duquesne Dukes55c46.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.651,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks44c45.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.116450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6967…9053backed Duquesne Dukes56c41.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Saint Joseph's Hawks43c38.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.926931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Saint Joseph's Hawks41c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.422638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Saint Joseph's Hawks51c37.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4219055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Saint Joseph's Hawks37c37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Duquesne Dukes59c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6548051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Saint Joseph's Hawks41c34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.062245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Saint Joseph's Hawks41c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.472564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Duquesne Dukes58c31.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Duquesne Dukes53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7545953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Duquesne Dukes59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.722552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Saint Joseph's Hawks41c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.934060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dc1…c34abacked Duquesne Dukes57c26.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Saint Joseph's Hawks39c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.941,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Saint Joseph's Hawks42c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.083470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed Duquesne Dukes66c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.554770.2%33 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Duquesne Dukes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.