College Football · resolved market
Tulane vs. Ole Miss: O/U 57.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3072f7a623d06a9e1e8dabeec4d753dced23b7e58bfef2b03c0e9fe9e6487de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $580,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $730,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Under | 50c | 396,082$200,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196,082.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 192,099$96,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,049.44 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Over | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,500 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 49c | 44,083$21,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600.51 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 23,608$11,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,611.39 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 13,186$6,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.26 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Over | 49c | 1,187$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Over | 51c | 1,170$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 1,154$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.55 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 21c | 761$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.19 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 731.08$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.23 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c05…4902backed Over | 52c | 447.56$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 28c | 397.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 8cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Over | 51c | 235.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 13c | 202.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 49c | 201.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 49c | 200.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 8cpaid | +333.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Over | 51c | 113.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 90.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…fba2backed Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…8747backed Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…db24backed Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulane vs. Ole Miss: O/U 57.5this page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)Ole Miss won
- Tulane vs. Ole MissOle Miss won
- Tulane vs. Ole Miss: 1H MoneylineOle Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.