Us Midterms · resolved market
Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44596b64f80a35aa35923a38aea8cf892be4dc450afa1d338c20ff467db9fb48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0130…274cbacked No | 76c | 1,103$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 8c | 439.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Yes | 18c | 345$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 15c | 194.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 25c | 190$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed Yes | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 64c | 140.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 25c | 137$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 118$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Yes | 11c | 109.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…f93abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?this page
- Will 49 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Yes won
- Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 52 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 55 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 56 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.