Us Midterms · resolved market
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc5ffb4a117ac2ac42e694d828fce8059ebc9ed6e5c5ee5a728f9ea348768835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x402a…bf33backed No | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 20c | 487.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…274cbacked Yes | 44c | 318.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 22c | 278.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 20c | 272.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 13c | 240.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 19c | 223$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 77c | 188.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 20c | 164$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 80c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 19c | 119$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 19c | 112$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 62c | 110.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 19c | 108$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…e71ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…db1cbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 19c | 98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 21c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…736cbacked No | 20c | 76.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 20c | 67.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 20c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 73c | 38.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…ed31backed No | 58c | 25.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…8262backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?this page
- Will 49 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 52 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 55 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 56 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.