Us Midterms · resolved market
Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d7ab634d93797e8210b98d59eac19b532b09f764240135c85b9304ec45f1287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked Yes | 11c | 449.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…274cbacked No | 74c | 410$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 259.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed Yes | 7c | 196.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…3d45backed Yes | 21c | 102$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 20c | 90.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 22c | 60.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 22c | 57.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 79c | 48.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 30c | 47.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 79c | 14.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?this page
- Will 49 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Yes won
- Will 52 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 55 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will 56 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No won
- Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.