World Politics · resolved market
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd75a9de8f60669a0b891d713902dcfee64dcf88471c49dd76f39fd1ac34c016b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed No | 7c | 18,975$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 9c | 16,941$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 0c | 11,120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 7c | 10,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 0c | 7,171$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 5c | 5,754$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf78…a054backed No | 9c | 3,237$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 1c | 3,174$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…6fd9backed No | 3c | 3,145$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…4309backed No | 9c | 2,530$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc2…0dd6backed No | 3c | 2,507$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…ab14backed No | 9c | 2,200$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cd…3802backed No | 5c | 2,081$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed No | 1c | 1,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 8c | 1,785$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…1b1ebacked No | 2c | 1,476$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc8…4b15backed No | 2c | 1,399$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…0c7fbacked No | 1c | 1,350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47b…2c0dbacked No | 18c | 1,252$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 1,250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 1c | 1,202$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 8c | 1,152$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…4fc9backed No | 9c | 1,148$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…0047backed No | 9c | 1,122$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…e222backed No | 2c | 1,089$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed No | 2c | 1,088$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6258…fa6bbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked No | 1c | 999.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 999.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 7c | 994.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…2df8backed No | 11c | 789.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…dc99backed No | 8c | 745.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 2c | 734.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…1e7bbacked No | 8c | 733.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 72c | 691.7$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…f861backed No | 9c | 631.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…5d6dbacked No | 5c | 623.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed No | 9c | 620.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…d7f1backed Yes | 66c | 601.32$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked No | 10c | 598$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 10c | 557$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…9563backed No | 4c | 556.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed No | 4c | 544.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062f…aaeabacked No | 2c | 508.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…e34bbacked No | 39c | 501.64$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked No | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 8c | 489.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…699dbacked No | 7c | 486.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…a81abacked No | 5c | 440.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 440.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 11c | 383.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 7c | 341.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…7065backed No | 28c | 303.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8726backed No | 20c | 278.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 8c | 273.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 30c | 252.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…d522backed No | 9c | 250.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 13c | 241.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…a0fbbacked No | 12c | 238.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab99…2c8bbacked No | 11c | 232.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…c27ebacked Yes | 66c | 227.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 60c | 202.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 10c | 188.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…0cdcbacked No | 9c | 174.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed No | 13c | 155.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 19c | 142$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b8…08e8backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…7deabacked Yes | 73c | 136.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe6…cdc6backed No | 11c | 132.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…4561backed No | 22c | 125.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 29c | 122.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…3d9fbacked Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…fb5abacked Yes | 79c | 118.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…485abacked No | 10c | 107.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd8…4ed3backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…0e53backed No | 27c | 98.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 71c | 91.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 15c | 89.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…203abacked Yes | 64c | 85.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Yes | 60c | 84.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…83c7backed Yes | 79c | 74.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…3dc1backed Yes | 69c | 72.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1057backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 18c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…4fc0backed Yes | 71c | 63.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 28c | 59.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 61c | 58.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…15b4backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…325dbacked No | 34c | 53.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…bdfabacked No | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…ce07backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…ac3ebacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…3f04backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a93…463ebacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…d424backed No | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed Yes | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?this page
- Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?No won
- Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?No won
- Will Boyko Borissov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?No won
- Will Dimitar Glavchev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.