Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f6a8a355c99abe26b697102bc01465aaf7e47953ea101ba7ffed35d9e05ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,212$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.54 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 40c | 595.79$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 47c | 470.48$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.49 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 43c | 406.82$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 44c | 277.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 41c | 210.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -11.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 54c | 210$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…dbe4backed No | 46c | 186.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 172.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 39c | 172.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 168.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 125.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 44c | 117.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked Yes | 65c | 112.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 69c | 104.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 55c | 101.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 42c | 98.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 42c | 96.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…2b59backed No | 51c | 88.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dce…1ae5backed No | 57c | 88.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 60cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 61c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed No | 43c | 83.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 70.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 50c | 65.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 54c | 65.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…9615backed No | 21c | 60.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed No | 33c | 60.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 40c | 59.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 38c | 58.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 36c | 58.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked No | 39c | 58.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 49c | 56.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 49c | 54.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 35c | 51.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a79…38bebacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 41c | 48.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 69c | 47.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 52c | 44.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 34c | 44.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed No | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 41.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 40.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…7980backed No | 59c | 39.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 35c | 39.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 58c | 39.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 73c | 37.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 34.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4da…cf3bbacked No | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7da…138cbacked No | 56c | 33.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…8652backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 50c | 29.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 43c | 29.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…7b28backed Yes | 51c | 29.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 49c | 25.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 76c | 25.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…ebe8backed Yes | 45c | 24.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…ac4abacked Yes | 45c | 24.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 62c | 23.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…594fbacked No | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…ace0backed Yes | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 58c | 18.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…293cbacked No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.