Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf42469d0c0e5eef5d8e9ce56ec863cc30df501bec4dec0ee62a7826817dc06d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,190$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,152$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…c30abacked Yes | 13c | 852.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 17c | 829.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 23c | 761.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.62 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 21c | 693.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 26c | 692.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 72c | 659.68$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.78 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked No | 79c | 644.36$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 80c | 615.13$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 612$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 78c | 549.12$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 548.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 43c | 524$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.83 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 68c | 514.75$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 17c | 504.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 419.4$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 20c | 417.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 390.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…d770backed Yes | 49c | 386.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 34c | 353.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 71c | 335.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 45c | 333.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 324.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…5cbcbacked Yes | 8c | 296.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 269.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 75c | 266.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 14c | 263.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 246.9$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 41c | 229.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 30c | 225.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 218.26$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 212.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 14c | 202.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 69c | 201.04$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 199.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 73c | 194.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…f0bbbacked Yes | 52c | 193.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 59c | 188.29$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 187.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 72c | 184.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 37c | 181.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed Yes | 38c | 171.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 29c | 168.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…9424backed No | 78c | 168.26$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 14c | 166.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 23c | 165.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…fda0backed Yes | 12c | 162.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 9c | 159.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 43c | 156.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 41c | 145.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 143.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 26c | 140.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 24c | 134.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 133.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 133$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 22c | 132.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 8c | 130.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 27c | 129.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 125.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 118.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 77c | 118.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…f8bdbacked Yes | 26c | 117.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…1db9backed Yes | 13c | 116.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 77c | 116.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…b921backed No | 74c | 115.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 78c | 105.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Yes | 28c | 101.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea19…f354backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 53c | 95.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 27c | 94.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…cdeebacked Yes | 14c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5868…64c8backed No | 80c | 89.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 78c | 89.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked Yes | 30c | 89.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 79c | 89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…8f19backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 85.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 47c | 80.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…4635backed No | 76c | 78.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 78.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 55c | 75.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 72c | 69.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 68.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 158 | 18.4%29 W · 129 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…9cc4backed Yes | 44c | 68.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 48c | 66.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 80c | 62.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 61.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 22c | 61.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10c…c0d8backed No | 77c | 60.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.