Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac475c54d7e5d01381fd455e68978d9f262709fa5125cef587cd8b37c71805e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 6c | 2,145$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…27e5backed No | 77c | 775.29$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…393ebacked No | 76c | 694.64$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed Yes | 3c | 693.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -80%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 25c | 633.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 8c | 575.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 26c | 465.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 20c | 457.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 440.07$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 7c | 425.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 390.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 324$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 14c | 319.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 13c | 317.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 9c | 313$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 279.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 11c | 269.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 9c | 266.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 69c | 247.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 241.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 4c | 240.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 9c | 229.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…9cc4backed Yes | 10c | 202.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 13c | 201.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 201.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 7c | 199.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 196.27$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 13c | 186.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 177.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 28c | 176.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed Yes | 10c | 168.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 77c | 164.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 13c | 164.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 23c | 158.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 6c | 156$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…adc5backed No | 70c | 151.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 11c | 147.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 17c | 143.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…cdeebacked Yes | 15c | 135.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 133.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 9c | 130.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 10c | 126.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 77c | 124.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 12c | 122.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 15c | 120.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…023cbacked Yes | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 119.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 10c | 118.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 11c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9953…9ef2backed Yes | 13c | 113.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…4629backed Yes | 18c | 113.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes | 27c | 109.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…f4f2backed Yes | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 11c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 71c | 92.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…09fabacked Yes | 27c | 87.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 221 | 25.3%56 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 34c | 85.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…b921backed Yes | 22c | 78.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 14c | 75.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 27c | 70.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…985abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 73c | 63.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 32c | 63.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 79c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…2022backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 53.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 24c | 50.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…df0fbacked No | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 24c | 45.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 28c | 42.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 71c | 40.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 67c | 39.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…4134backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…f9c4backed No | 74c | 32.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…66f5backed Yes | 32c | 31.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 70c | 29.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…9156backed No | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 71c | 25.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…67f4backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.