Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6783984b3f2758daea951f3bbf37683235f3726f25f3a8bbd97a91992414746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 46c | 853.26$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.57 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 55c | 402.24$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 27c | 398.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.62 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…b15dbacked No | 32c | 383.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 378$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 37c | 373.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed Yes | 67c | 358.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.52 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 45c | 246.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 239$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 30c | 237$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 68c | 217.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 48c | 207.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 31c | 190$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 59c | 171.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 68c | 170.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…941ebacked No | 52c | 170$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked No | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 145.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 48c | 129.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 49c | 124.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 121.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed Yes | 56c | 117.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 183 | 33.3%61 W · 122 L | -17.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked Yes | 72c | 117.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 72c | 114.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 38c | 106.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 45c | 100.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 37c | 99.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 45c | 95.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 43c | 94.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 32c | 94.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 94.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed Yes | 61c | 93.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 68c | 87.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 61c | 84.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 60c | 70.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 68.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 44c | 67.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 79c | 66.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 45c | 66.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 42c | 60.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 28c | 58.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed Yes | 71c | 57.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…7227backed Yes | 71c | 52.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 51.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 58c | 51.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…177abacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…f570backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86cc…f46ebacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…ab27backed No | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…e184backed Yes | 60c | 48.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 54c | 47.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ee…1b59backed No | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 41c | 44.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…8651backed No | 46c | 44.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 53c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 55c | 40.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…fc29backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 46c | 38.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 72c | 34.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed No | 36c | 33.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 45c | 33.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 78c | 32.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 61c | 30.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…d3d9backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 41c | 28.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked Yes | 74c | 26.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 58c | 26.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…100abacked Yes | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 64c | 22.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…a4bebacked Yes | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 55c | 21.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 75c | 20.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…ace0backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.