Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde5678cc94f372262ed94c1ce47b86537d2fb178fd91ce1eba50426ec659db34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,583$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.16 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,092$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.62 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 57c | 803$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.9 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 31c | 624.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 12c | 590.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 57c | 478.52$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 33c | 416$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.03 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…bd3cbacked Yes | 61c | 410.26$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 42c | 400.92$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 47c | 324.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 39c | 323.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 319.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 39c | 302.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 75c | 283.61$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 219$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 7c | 194.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 37c | 183.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 38c | 177.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 172$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…3925backed No | 29c | 154.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 64c | 152.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 150.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 59c | 143.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 133.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 119.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 49c | 117.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 53c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 62c | 105.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 25c | 104.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Yes | 62c | 103$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9a05backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 206 | 31.1%64 W · 142 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 51c | 90.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 22c | 90.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed Yes | 59c | 88.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 36c | 80.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 78.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 60c | 77.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 71c | 71.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 38c | 69.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 50c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 60c | 67.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 78c | 65.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed No | 23c | 64.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 40c | 59.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 52c | 59.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 42c | 54.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 37c | 52.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 30c | 52.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 49c | 50.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 38c | 49.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…0968backed Yes | 80c | 48.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 77c | 48.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 78c | 45.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 40c | 37.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 39c | 36.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked No | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 34.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 51c | 31.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed Yes | 61c | 27.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 66c | 27.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 77c | 22.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 46c | 22.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…3c12backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.