TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof St. Louis Cardinals, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$473,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$518,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics56c45,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,799.9377053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed St. Louis Cardinals0c30,440$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0940629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked St. Louis Cardinals44c22,844$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals44c22,218$9,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,776.134,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed St. Louis Cardinals10c19,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed St. Louis Cardinals44c18,840$8,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,289.7813045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics73c18,448$13,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.2611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals44c16,633$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,318.451,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics67c16,537$11,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,503.612,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics70c15,715$11,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,673.5110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed St. Louis Cardinals13c15,412$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics64c14,523$9,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,243.181,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed St. Louis Cardinals55c11,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.96653%35 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals16c8,038$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked St. Louis Cardinals0c7,150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.058762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed St. Louis Cardinals12c6,067$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.681,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics56c6,007$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.985,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked St. Louis Cardinals55c5,500$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.9544744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics48c4,710$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.992,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Athletics73c4,538$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.5957758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Athletics57c4,300$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8492766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals44c4,232$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.372,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals42c4,194$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.528,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics64c4,189$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.261,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed St. Louis Cardinals4c3,997$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15514134%48 W · 93 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals22c3,246$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.754,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics71c3,189$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.336,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Athletics56c2,974$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.4877951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa376…c17dbacked St. Louis Cardinals6c2,800$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.95616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+270.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics57c2,529$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.311,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics56c2,521$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.031,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Athletics57c2,300$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9892268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals39c2,235$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.231,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed St. Louis Cardinals45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics56c2,027$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.61,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Athletics56c2,012$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.272245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x696f…d8b9backed St. Louis Cardinals1c2,009$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Athletics56c2,001$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.296349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed St. Louis Cardinals38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9551756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed St. Louis Cardinals45c1,949$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.229350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17be…a73abacked St. Louis Cardinals16c1,800$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.275038%19 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked St. Louis Cardinals44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed St. Louis Cardinals43c1,493$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.1173748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked St. Louis Cardinals44c1,491$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.843743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Athletics56c1,384$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.9651547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed St. Louis Cardinals44c1,377$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.6828850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics57c1,262$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.591,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked St. Louis Cardinals4c1,255$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.34535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked St. Louis Cardinals7c1,250$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.496341.3%26 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Athletics56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5285257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics48c1,153$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Athletics76c1,115$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3736759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0de8…86eabacked St. Louis Cardinals10c1,113$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.773234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Athletics57c1,048$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.542,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed St. Louis Cardinals68c1,005$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.6433864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38d7…af0dbacked Athletics57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+65.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc20f…ab16backed Athletics56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed Athletics56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Athletics46c1,000$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.725240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7444…451bbacked Athletics56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab2…41babacked Athletics56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Athletics56c982.14$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1419246.9%90 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Athletics57c878.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.4411748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals43c860.03$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.763,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics56c841$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.041,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Athletics56c803.56$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5720848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked St. Louis Cardinals43c783$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7316135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed St. Louis Cardinals12c757.92$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9511551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals46c731.58$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.798,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked St. Louis Cardinals2c722.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4614724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Athletics55c698.87$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4949158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b39…57e8backed Athletics50c687.03$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.542733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Athletics56c652.99$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.321,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Athletics57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed St. Louis Cardinals12c591.54$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2694648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed St. Louis Cardinals12c591.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.261,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed St. Louis Cardinals15c580$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878125.9%21 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Athletics57c556.14$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1446749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed St. Louis Cardinals44c550$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Athletics57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3221856%122 W · 96 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals14c520$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.941,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Athletics57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21519248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked St. Louis Cardinals18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Athletics57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21517768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics51c493.27$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.156,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals43c476.7$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.626,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals45c463.22$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5160941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Athletics57c459.93$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7750751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed St. Louis Cardinals44c455$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.21,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals34c435.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2379147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed St. Louis Cardinals34c429.26$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2254048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd94f…ee62backed St. Louis Cardinals4c427.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192020%4 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked St. Louis Cardinals13c420$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.812446%57 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed St. Louis Cardinals44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17639056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed St. Louis Cardinals10c387.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.763912.8%5 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed St. Louis Cardinals50c384.44$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0425351.8%131 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Athletics56c380$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.241,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed St. Louis Cardinals47c375.95$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6850860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e44…f14dbacked St. Louis Cardinals13c373.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.492722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.