TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Johan Alexander Rodriguezof Johan Alexander Rodriguez, Juan Manuel La Serna
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Manuel La Serna53c9,734$5,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,143.2711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3695…c66cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna50c8,037$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006549.2%32 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez37c5,742$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,626.98,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna55c3,320$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.0818445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez33c2,758$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.474,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez54c2,120$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.394,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez55c1,917$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.664,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez50c1,793$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.454,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez50c1,677$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.686,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez62c1,047$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.913655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez25c946.36$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.047,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Juan Manuel La Serna63c849.71$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.982,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Juan Manuel La Serna59c791.54$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.682,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Manuel La Serna54c723.16$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.388,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Juan Manuel La Serna69c580.41$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.0612369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84b8…93c7backed Juan Manuel La Serna50c578.58$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.297644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Juan Manuel La Serna55c555.25$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.112,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.451,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5435955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0149…2f04backed Juan Manuel La Serna75c479.75$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.862286.4%19 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Juan Manuel La Serna53c417.72$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.881,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez61c417.53$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.96,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2992…0d26backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez46c397.25$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.251250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Juan Manuel La Serna74c391.91$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.423,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Juan Manuel La Serna56c319.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.843,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Juan Manuel La Serna64c307$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4822667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez66c305.77$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8344448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez23c301.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.092,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf93…8458backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez70c287.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.365945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Juan Manuel La Serna75c269.68$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1620670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez57c264.19$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.615850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Juan Manuel La Serna67c256.84$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4639035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez25c236.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.062,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc2…10dcbacked Juan Manuel La Serna42c235.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.31per pick40cpaid-82.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez25c224.41$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.555,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez34c207.15$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.152,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.91,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez48c197.86$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.819,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Juan Manuel La Serna64c191.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6452152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez28c175.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9758045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8706…008cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna64c169.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.255072%36 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez62c167.3$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.571,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez39c167.08$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.083,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez33c155.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.673,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez41c142.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.332,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa13d…f67abacked Juan Manuel La Serna76c136.24$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.541662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna62c126.06$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.162,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez40c123.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.913,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez33c121.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.357544%33 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.232,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez32c102.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.332,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Juan Manuel La Serna58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez29c89.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.663,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez43c80.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.021,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez34c77.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8292548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez54c68.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.542,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez63c65.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1644349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez34c57.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9285742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x151a…ccdfbacked Juan Manuel La Serna52c56.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez30c55.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7873748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5548355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez27c52.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5458539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Juan Manuel La Serna53c49.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.316654.8%91 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2554…bb52backed Juan Manuel La Serna75c49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.989754.6%53 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Juan Manuel La Serna65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Juan Manuel La Serna67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9592046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez25c44.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.32,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Juan Manuel La Serna67c43.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe011…3b5bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe551…e51cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna74c42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Juan Manuel La Serna65c34.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2396945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Juan Manuel La Serna75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna69c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.014,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez43c23.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2674346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb176…567cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna52c23.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1310067%67 W · 33 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Johan Alexander Rodriguez53c21.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.981,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Juan Manuel La Serna62c20.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6239161.4%240 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.