Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45d0aa76e70873ce8bce1b539d1d68be1db7dcf1cad37e59a5191d53dcc8fa03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 1,891$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.94 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 708.12$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.06 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 49c | 599.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.49 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 51c | 591.64$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Over | 79c | 275$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.35 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked Over | 49c | 267.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 46c | 240.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…f862backed Under | 51c | 203$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 51c | 158.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Under | 21c | 142.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 61c | 141.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 49c | 114.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 60c | 105.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 46c | 101.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 52c | 96.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 51c | 94.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 88.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 87.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 25c | 70.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 59c | 65.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…b63fbacked Over | 49c | 60.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 35c | 57.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Under | 51c | 55.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Under | 21c | 55.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…fdffbacked Over | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Under | 53c | 51.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 53c | 44.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 52c | 44.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 31c | 40.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 29.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa619…51f9backed Over | 50c | 23.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.