Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e684c3623b181e61268f870f1837a127b937d515f4e0d8b58d9e9293964ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 49c | 2,827$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.23 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.23 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 48c | 741.96$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.82 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 51c | 634.83$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.07 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Over | 52c | 538.98$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.41 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 48c | 515.08$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 318.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 49c | 281.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.29 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 266.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 49c | 227$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 48c | 203.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 58c | 155.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 42c | 115.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…4c1bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…875abacked Under | 47c | 64.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 57.7%173 W · 127 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 47c | 51.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.