TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x695d…0d7cbacked Under52c13,376$7,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,371.9667553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under51c12,688$6,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,216.9821347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over49c9,579$4,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.921,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over47c4,430$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.21,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over49c2,478$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.1754934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Under52c2,448$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.230843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over48c1,774$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.5246050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under58c1,721$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.6522547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over48c1,409$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.471,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013735%48 W · 89 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over49c1,187$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.735848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Over49c1,102$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over44c908.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6417943.6%78 W · 101 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under56c571.77$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.542,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over49c556$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4427447.4%130 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over47c548.21$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.146248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Over48c548.17$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2626434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabd3…6635backed Under54c463.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.467839.7%31 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over5c443.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.172544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c418.62$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.942,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under68c365.92$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.691,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over42c269$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.473,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under46c261.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9234849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under56c237.76$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5963742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over49c224.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under70c214.69$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.940637.7%153 W · 253 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over35c207$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.971,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10960243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Under50c194.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.383951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac07…3193backed Under52c187.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.132445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013046.2%60 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under67c159$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7746452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over32c157.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.532,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.517241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over9c149.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Over42c144.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over41c129$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8982836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7947…ac07backed Over49c112.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over13c111.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7397854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under74c110.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.31,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c47…b30abacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012251.6%63 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over49c101.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4745444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaac…8069backed Under68c98.84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.848155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Over51c98.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31a…77aabacked Over48c98.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.342466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over34c92.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.272,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Over48c71.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1627356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.42,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2082…fdffbacked Under78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.17070%49 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over49c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4253047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7723146.8%108 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over35c53.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0818639.2%73 W · 113 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.296051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over49c41.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.561256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28d8…eee6backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Under66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.615739.5%62 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over48c37.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7719259.9%115 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over43c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.572,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Over42c35.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0114042.1%59 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under50c31.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9211253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43f3…06f9backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153966.7%26 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Over44c29.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.157243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over46c27.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8612343.9%54 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under58c26.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0620967%140 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.524645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Over48c22.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8710746.7%50 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under58c22.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5124446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under54c22.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2418051.1%92 W · 88 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec6…749ebacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under77c19.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5915823.4%37 W · 121 L-21.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under55c19.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7322043.6%96 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6dc…58d5backed Under67c17.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9121652.3%113 W · 103 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Under71c17.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1732253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.