Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f3016fd99271d837b2f34c10623c541f6e481212958cada9c0972331ce9832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 7,173$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.57 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 6,787$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.08 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 76c | 3,967$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 80c | 3,720$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,409$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.93 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 61c | 2,352$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 13c | 2,239$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,725$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.31 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,514$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.96 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 66c | 1,506$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.6 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Yes | 63c | 1,271$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 1,164$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.7 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 69c | 865.65$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 801.15$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 40c | 760$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 65c | 680.87$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.69 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 45c | 458.86$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.02 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Yes | 72c | 417.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…c25cbacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 367.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 320.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.49 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Yes | 69c | 299.73$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 76c | 279.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0524backed No | 80c | 251.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 228.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 22c | 222.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 78c | 207.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 63c | 202.11$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…f319backed Yes | 15c | 201.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…b917backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 16c | 187.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 15c | 173.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 163.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 148.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 68c | 147.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 72c | 143.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…6645backed Yes | 74c | 135.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 15c | 130.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 16c | 113.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 15c | 96.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 16c | 84.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 14c | 72.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 26c | 72.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 72c | 69.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…e7e7backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 21c | 55.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked No | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Yes | 71c | 42.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Yes | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 73c | 35.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Yes | 58c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…95a3backed Yes | 69c | 24.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…2353backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 57c | 21.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.