Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9693d8896399e60a8dc4bcf903e6c41a4f2ba776ece1c36e336af3cfccebe40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 3,047$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.28 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 2,779$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.33 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,491$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.98 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 1,804$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.52 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,725$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.91 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 1,466$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.67 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,416$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 29c | 886.21$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 867.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.37 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 78c | 591.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 587.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 579.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes | 21c | 463.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 26c | 460$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 78c | 460$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 75c | 441.54$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 59c | 422.13$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 30c | 411.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 354.33$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 39c | 312.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Yes | 24c | 299.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 279.43$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 14c | 263$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 28c | 242.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 44c | 187.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 68c | 166.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 162$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcc…a65ebacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 21c | 115.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 27c | 113.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 18c | 112.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ba…c42fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…dec9backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 23c | 96.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed No | 79c | 79.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 71c | 71.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbb…893cbacked Yes | 20c | 68.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 18c | 62.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 58.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 31c | 57.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5978backed Yes | 24c | 55.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 19c | 52.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 23c | 50.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 50.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…078abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…a36fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…2353backed Yes | 35c | 42.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 33c | 40.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 36.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 74c | 30.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed No | 69c | 28.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked No | 75c | 26.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 71c | 22.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 74c | 18.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 17.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed No | 74c | 13.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.