CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea5cb360bfe37615e60771092b7134558351db95f5882660341a338f0891bf48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof TheMongolz, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5faf…1183backed TheMongolz | 26c | 30,031$7,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,953.1 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Monte | 62c | 19,436$12,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,385.49 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Monte | 60c | 13,499$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.67 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Monte | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.99 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 6,285$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.05 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Monte | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Monte | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.98 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed TheMongolz | 38c | 3,977$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Monte | 62c | 3,959$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.55 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Monte | 62c | 2,467$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.46 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed TheMongolz | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Monte | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 1,928$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.97 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 1,830$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.95 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed TheMongolz | 36c | 1,828$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.14 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Monte | 61c | 1,726$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.1 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz | 39c | 1,603$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.85 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Monte | 64c | 1,531$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.25 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Monte | 62c | 1,454$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.24 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 39c | 1,106$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.3 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Monte | 61c | 1,005$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.72 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed TheMongolz | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed TheMongolz | 37c | 918.92$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 900.4$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.15 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed TheMongolz | 40c | 883.94$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.65 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed TheMongolz | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…9fd7backed TheMongolz | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Monte | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Monte | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Monte | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Monte | 62c | 559.68$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed TheMongolz | 38c | 525$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed Monte | 62c | 511$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed TheMongolz | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Monte | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 463.62$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed TheMongolz | 37c | 375.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…67b7backed TheMongolz | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Monte | 61c | 365.89$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Monte | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Monte | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed TheMongolz | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…caa5backed TheMongolz | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed TheMongolz | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed TheMongolz | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed TheMongolz | 38c | 249.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…711abacked TheMongolz | 38c | 249.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked TheMongolz | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed TheMongolz | 38c | 199.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Monte | 59c | 193.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 178.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed TheMongolz | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 287 | 40.8%117 W · 170 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed TheMongolz | 37c | 158.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Monte | 62c | 154.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked TheMongolz | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed TheMongolz | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed TheMongolz | 38c | 135.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed TheMongolz | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed TheMongolz | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Monte | 61c | 124.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…01e3backed TheMongolz | 25c | 110.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed TheMongolz | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed TheMongolz | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Monte | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed TheMongolz | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 364 | 57.1%208 W · 156 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed TheMongolz | 40c | 90.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Monte | 61c | 89.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed TheMongolz | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed TheMongolz | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Monte | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked TheMongolz | 37c | 79.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed TheMongolz | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Monte | 61c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed TheMongolz | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked TheMongolz | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed TheMongolz | 40c | 74.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…db1dbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 73.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed TheMongolz | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed TheMongolz | 37c | 56.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Monte | 62c | 55.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed TheMongolz | 32c | 51.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed TheMongolz | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed TheMongolz | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…9c83backed Monte | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Monte | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Monte | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed TheMongolz | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…f39fbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed TheMongolz | 40c | 38.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…23d9backed Monte | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.