CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc80831c987ea94974765b650d0b2727392ac779f9ed1588a34db86574e4e18f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72ef…ddcbbacked Over | 48c | 8,373$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 51c | 3,831$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.24 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 2,341$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.48 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b9…6512backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 51c | 2,102$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.36 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Over | 49c | 2,036$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.27 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 43c | 888.21$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.99 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 46c | 539.74$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.46 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Over | 59c | 507.34$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…618ebacked Under | 38c | 449.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b59…730abacked Over | 46c | 425.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 54c | 422.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 56c | 422.47$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.58 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 65c | 390.8$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 43c | 360.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Over | 57c | 297.45$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 54c | 292.48$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 12c | 217$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Over | 46c | 210.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 187.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 28c | 177.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 43c | 167.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 63c | 159.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 72c | 154.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 67c | 141.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 37c | 137.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 29c | 117.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…7635backed Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 44c | 104.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…1daebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 45c | 85.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 60c | 81.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 78.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 15c | 75.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 53c | 74.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 54c | 57.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 56.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 46c | 51.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 39c | 48.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…b9c9backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…e7b9backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Over | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Under | 54c | 40.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Under | 54c | 40.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…4f48backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…5b0abacked Under | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…277bbacked Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 25.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…fae6backed Over | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0a…c846backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.