TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof FURIA, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ69c4,340$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.115,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FURIA31c3,425$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.691,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked MOUZ68c1,286$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked FURIA32c1,210$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1719546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ69c869.99$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.922,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed FURIA31c833.65$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.67045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed FURIA32c825.92$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.951643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed MOUZ68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.241080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed MOUZ37c537.3$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6935054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed FURIA47c462.43$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4741938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ35c461.86$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.2436645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ69c446.36$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.42,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FURIA29c419.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.827753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked MOUZ69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed MOUZ66c387.56$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7788242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked FURIA37c359.73$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.119849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked MOUZ63c320$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.484870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked FURIA36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10817853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed FURIA67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed MOUZ69c293.17$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5650051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed FURIA34c264.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FURIA63c249.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.491,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5a…9ef7backed FURIA32c245$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.46939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked MOUZ71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2744675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked FURIA28c205.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.597647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed MOUZ42c199.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9917251.2%88 W · 84 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed FURIA54c186.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed FURIA29c183.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.081,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed MOUZ64c179.84$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7420353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa889…ebcdbacked MOUZ63c173.31$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1219256.8%109 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed MOUZ37c156.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7612038.3%46 W · 74 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked MOUZ68c154.71$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5122447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29e6…3365backed FURIA63c150$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.54261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed FURIA28c136.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1949935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked FURIA31c135.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8758254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed FURIA29c134.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9659343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked FURIA32c133.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.89549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked FURIA41c125.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7828935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed MOUZ64c120.16$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2621949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4e…fbfbbacked MOUZ69c117.39$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.393265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed FURIA31c116.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610052%52 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed FURIA33c109.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.055747.4%27 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked FURIA33c109.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3630236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed FURIA32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3218148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed FURIA33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3334742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed FURIA32c95.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e0c…e236backed FURIA32c92.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed MOUZ68c90.2$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7634750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed FURIA58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.222651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA34c86.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.112,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9363…91cdbacked MOUZ62c86.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.462268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed MOUZ69c78.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.499565.3%62 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f68…189fbacked FURIA37c78.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed MOUZ68c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6813857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fb…1c4abacked MOUZ68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.537350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ37c72.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.961,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked FURIA56c71.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015856.3%89 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked FURIA33c71.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5930545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed FURIA32c69.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3918145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed MOUZ37c64.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.868648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed FURIA33c63.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113127.5%36 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked MOUZ37c62.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1610154.5%55 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb161…30aabacked MOUZ68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e24…b6d5backed MOUZ68c55.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8812052.5%63 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked MOUZ37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.537149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked MOUZ47c49.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3952645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed MOUZ40c49.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5870042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ63c49.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed FURIA42c47.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026657.9%154 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ54c46.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.442,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked FURIA45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bf…3e90backed FURIA34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa372…65bbbacked MOUZ68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked MOUZ41c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.411,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked FURIA38c40.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.330639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed FURIA41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.468659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed FURIA31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.467750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed FURIA33c39.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.989335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b10…89b6backed FURIA64c37.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244161%25 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.121,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked MOUZ68c32.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2214751.7%76 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA39c30.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.742,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x760e…db1abacked MOUZ68c29.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.538268.3%56 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2a…0f79backed MOUZ68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed MOUZ55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0928556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed MOUZ68c28.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2731673.7%233 W · 83 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed MOUZ68c24.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9615351%78 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked MOUZ69c23.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2527452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed MOUZ69c23.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1923963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3e…8869backed MOUZ71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.815259.9%91 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed MOUZ70c18.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5637855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed MOUZ69c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9623465%152 W · 82 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed MOUZ69c15.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9712049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.