Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4408a86c1a02697170c146f1f89f8e85cba6d2179bd5605bf616b26ed3146e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 47c | 4,361$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.75 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 1,760$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 54c | 557.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Over | 53c | 547.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…71f4backed Over | 54c | 475.93$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…6566backed Over | 53c | 471.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 51c | 391.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 46c | 320.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.83 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Over | 53c | 247.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 47c | 237.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.85 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 224.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…4357backed Under | 50c | 195.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd674…027fbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 164.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Under | 55c | 108.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Over | 54c | 101.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 54c | 92.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…d94dbacked Over | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 49c | 77.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed4…3abdbacked Under | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397f…85f6backed Over | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…7635backed Over | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Under | 50c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…3535backed Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 24.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…f180backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ff34backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Team to Take First CornerDR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.