Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a7c8f7b96d33a76bb4bc93e020055f5d9facd0b7b09ac6474eeb552992e716d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 1,579$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 16c | 1,419$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 18c | 741.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 14c | 328.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…a568backed Under | 17c | 255.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Under | 41c | 152.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Over | 75c | 136.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 14c | 132.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…b584backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…184abacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under | 18c | 95.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51b…d260backed Under | 53c | 93.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 23c | 87.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 60c | 82.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…fec4backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under | 42c | 61.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Under | 40c | 46.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…441fbacked Over | 78c | 41.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b08…0131backed Under | 41c | 36.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 53c | 33.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 58c | 33.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 57c | 30.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…d3b2backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 76c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…8e27backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…c4cbbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Team to Take First CornerDR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.