Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda5ea450351723ec6212c6ee8e47fa30717ffa78edf9341463bf99f98de39130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 75c | 2,236$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.31 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c9…c1c1backed Over | 27c | 1,950$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.75 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 71c | 1,346$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.1 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 73c | 1,201$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 1,062$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Over | 28c | 872.15$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 29c | 862.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 76c | 721$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Over | 29c | 684.66$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 77c | 580.77$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.81 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 24c | 540.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 71c | 500.11$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 493.55$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 440.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…25b7backed Over | 29c | 364.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 27c | 329.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 17c | 274.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 71c | 271.14$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 74c | 267.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 72c | 249.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 29c | 242.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb285…68d3backed Under | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 101 | 69.3%70 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Over | 21c | 181.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 72c | 173.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 71c | 172.83$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 74c | 167.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 73c | 164.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 75c | 147$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Over | 28c | 125.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…6a42backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…71a6backed Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 20c | 103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 26c | 87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…fc8abacked Over | 29c | 69.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 28c | 54.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…d191backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…c039backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…8d92backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 28c | 48.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 42.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under | 72c | 33.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 72c | 29.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…241abacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 72c | 21.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 66c | 15.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Team to Take First CornerDR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.