Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Moutet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cdf4359762099608d33242539073ad5875b2bf6e301eeed0471976256814749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perricardof Perricard, Moutet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Moutet | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.92 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Perricard | 52c | 1,248$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Moutet | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.34 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Perricard | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd282…9e22backed Perricard | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Moutet | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Perricard | 64c | 450.8$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Moutet | 35c | 388.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…1c51backed Perricard | 64c | 385$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Moutet | 40c | 340$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Moutet | 39c | 310.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Moutet | 46c | 215.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Moutet | 19c | 213.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Moutet | 40c | 190$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…4576backed Moutet | 45c | 102.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Moutet | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Moutet | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Perricard | 60c | 83.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Moutet | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Moutet | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Moutet | 38c | 58.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…3535backed Perricard | 62c | 55.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Perricard | 54c | 46.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Moutet | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Perricard | 56c | 34.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Moutet | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Moutetthis page
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Corentin Moutet: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin MoutetCorentin Moutet won
- Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)Moutet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.