TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Tempoof Seattle Storm, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Storm41c8,586$3,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,557.7423245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Seattle Storm39c5,208$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.856549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Toronto Tempo61c5,200$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0287950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9927449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Toronto Tempo58c3,867$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.0713950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo59c3,011$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.181,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Storm20c2,478$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.650952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Seattle Storm39c2,421$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.352030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Seattle Storm43c2,080$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.66956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Storm38c1,861$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.622748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Toronto Tempo58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.148762.1%54 W · 33 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo62c1,678$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.6355255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Toronto Tempo60c1,663$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.231450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Seattle Storm36c1,646$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo66c1,449$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.581,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo67c1,304$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Storm33c1,123$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9226247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Storm39c1,033$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.944847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Storm39c1,025$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.945250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Seattle Storm46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Seattle Storm30c999.4$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0912745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Toronto Tempo60c846.55$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.092853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Seattle Storm4c816.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Toronto Tempo57c789.47$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.474652.2%24 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Toronto Tempo62c746.69$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3613358.6%78 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Toronto Tempo64c735.12$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.176237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Tempo65c608.91$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7685158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Seattle Storm43c578.84$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.99549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Seattle Storm41c517$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.142437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Seattle Storm42c493.57$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.565660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Seattle Storm40c440$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17613024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Tempo78c434.16$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9519428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Seattle Storm18c432.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Storm34c425.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7636454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Toronto Tempo60c338.53$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.419354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Toronto Tempo60c328.44$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.911163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Storm33c266.59$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.069129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Seattle Storm43c254.03$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.694551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm11c251.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9837850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Seattle Storm15c249$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3414936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Toronto Tempo58c238.97$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.371258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Toronto Tempo57c222.58$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.715044%22 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Seattle Storm47c211.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Seattle Storm41c199.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9921337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x635b…1013backed Seattle Storm44c122$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Seattle Storm48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.815250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Seattle Storm39c118.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.142045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Seattle Storm42c115.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.49044.4%40 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Toronto Tempo72c107.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1525246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Seattle Storm42c101.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7420642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Toronto Tempo42c101.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.019743.3%42 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Seattle Storm39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-57.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Seattle Storm40c95.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Seattle Storm42c88.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…c669backed Toronto Tempo50c73.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Toronto Tempo60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3d…e042backed Toronto Tempo71c59.87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.36540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Toronto Tempo77c58.68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4710349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Toronto Tempo60c58.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.623345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Toronto Tempo64c55.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6261042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Toronto Tempo59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.854854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2a…e8a9backed Seattle Storm42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Storm32c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6826147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a0…3a2fbacked Seattle Storm41c48.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+86.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d38…0183backed Toronto Tempo51c40.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Seattle Storm50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.48per pick60cpaid-82%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Seattle Storm41c36.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.967045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Seattle Storm42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Seattle Storm38c34.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ba…a6f6backed Toronto Tempo59c33.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a1…8597backed Toronto Tempo54c32.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.84463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Seattle Storm38c31.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.862540%10 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Seattle Storm42c27.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Toronto Tempo59c27.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.416127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Toronto Tempo73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Toronto Tempo60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+126.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Seattle Storm49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.243847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Toronto Tempo56c20.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+62.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e6e…6772backed Toronto Tempo63c20.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…ccd5backed Toronto Tempo57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Toronto Tempo59c17.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Toronto Tempo66c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.764047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Toronto Tempo67c15.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Toronto Tempo79c13.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.745149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.