WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa8fceaeca0d6fc9dc1669a83c046e2c23c8c7b9829a98374bae47a75dd2b70b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Toronto Tempo, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 8,935$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 6,952$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.79 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 5,458$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.19 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 4,942$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 2,444$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.76 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 2,352$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.09 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 2,015$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.65 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,916$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.56 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 924$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 572.32$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 563.39$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 553.12$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 494.19$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 494.19$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm | 41c | 292$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 61c | 242.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 181.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 141.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 89.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 66.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 47.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 40.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c845backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 25.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.