Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30253c5c031786488d05ce1130e335d157d7117c6d8ef52497319cc00d3f1697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martyna Kubkaof Viktoria Morvayova, Martyna Kubka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Martyna Kubka | 72c | 2,867$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Viktoria Morvayova | 1c | 1,852$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Viktoria Morvayova | 19c | 1,676$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Viktoria Morvayova | 3c | 1,190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 25c | 1,175$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 21c | 907.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 16c | 573.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Viktoria Morvayova | 68c | 516.28$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.61 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Viktoria Morvayova | 38c | 469.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Martyna Kubka | 76c | 461.57$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 40c | 437.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 47c | 409.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Martyna Kubka | 52c | 373.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Martyna Kubka | 32c | 267$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Viktoria Morvayova | 24c | 261.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Viktoria Morvayova | 27c | 243.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 19c | 209.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 15c | 186.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Martyna Kubka | 73c | 150.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Viktoria Morvayova | 16c | 144.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Viktoria Morvayova | 67c | 144.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Viktoria Morvayova | 23c | 132.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Martyna Kubka | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Viktoria Morvayova | 20c | 129.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Viktoria Morvayova | 15c | 129.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Viktoria Morvayova | 28c | 123.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Martyna Kubka | 48c | 111.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Viktoria Morvayova | 11c | 110.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martyna Kubka | 67c | 96.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Martyna Kubka | 75c | 95.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 610 | 62.8%383 W · 227 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Martyna Kubka | 42c | 94.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martyna Kubka | 64c | 93.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab37…7b61backed Martyna Kubka | 77c | 89.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Viktoria Morvayova | 17c | 87.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Viktoria Morvayova | 17c | 84.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Martyna Kubka | 40c | 81.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Martyna Kubka | 76c | 67.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Martyna Kubka | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 47c | 47.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Martyna Kubka | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Martyna Kubka | 67c | 35.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 68c | 35.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Martyna Kubka | 75c | 32.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Martyna Kubka | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Martyna Kubka | 73c | 26.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Martyna Kubka | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Martyna Kubka | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.