WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd49bf8985359288dad9d329804458b4823162fe0a072d32e8b32de79fe9e3d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 51,079$22,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,976.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 50,010$27,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,504.96 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 28,328$15,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,314.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 14,821$6,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893.59 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 10,815$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 9,698$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,597.81 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 8,906$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.09 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 33c | 5,976$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.73 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 5,664$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.91 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 4,361$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 3,073$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.31 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 3,070$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.64 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 2,761$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.61 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 2,367$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 2,367$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.15 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…e073backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 2,279$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 2,224$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.91 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 2,192$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.71 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 2,000$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.84 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 1,903$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 1,819$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 1,571$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 1,533$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.26 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 1,383$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.27 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 1,356$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.43 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 1,240$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.53 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…0f14backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 1,180$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 1,149$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.11 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…08e1backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 1,024$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 999.94$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Golden State Valkyries | 40c | 925.66$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.28 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 921.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 918.73$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 890.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.41 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 827$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.23 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 811.06$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 810.42$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 649.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 11c | 599.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 579.45$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 579.23$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.86 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 519.02$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Golden State Valkyries | 38c | 497.23$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Golden State Valkyries | 23c | 474.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 469.85$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 463.94$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 437.36$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 431.04$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 403.6$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 390$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…1bc0backed Golden State Valkyries | 38c | 367.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 367$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 364$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 360$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 357.49$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 356.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Las Vegas Aces | 65c | 352.5$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Las Vegas Aces | 62c | 349.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 344.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 62c | 330.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 28c | 326.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 39c | 308.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 306.52$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 303.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 273.76$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 268.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 34c | 249.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 241.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Golden State Valkyries | 14c | 239.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 235.06$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 232.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 232.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 221.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 210.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Las Vegas Aces | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Golden State Valkyries | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 195.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 182.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 178.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 176.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 174.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…2f70backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 172.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyriesthis page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.