WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9dc61f9036305ad8a81488fd02a344aa9ec7c6b6418274adbf7fe9e02ea6843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Under | 52c | 7,924$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.64 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 7,061$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.96 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 6,205$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.07 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 4,256$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.38 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 60c | 3,591$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.6 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 48c | 3,078$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.57 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 2,292$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 1,844$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.51 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 50c | 1,062$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Under | 23c | 1,053$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.19 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 699.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 48c | 568$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 49c | 512$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 405.21$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 271.52$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 249$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…874abacked Over | 50c | 222.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 48c | 207.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 60c | 172.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over | 50c | 152.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 47c | 123.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Under | 51c | 115.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 40c | 96.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 50c | 92.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 53c | 86.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 49c | 51.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 38.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 48c | 34.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 49c | 32.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…a5b7backed Under | 51c | 31.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Under | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 49c | 25.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 50c | 25.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Over | 54c | 18.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State ValkyriesLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.