TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$692,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$829,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Team Yandex70c71,422$49,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,771.5112159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex62c46,435$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Yandex54c34,811$18,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,946.650347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid33c26,778$8,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,864.3369644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex54c26,287$14,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,074.1589741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid42c25,189$10,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,587.1445139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Yandex55c25,000$13,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,749.9747646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Liquid43c24,524$10,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,011.7917452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid38c18,137$6,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,165.1751049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Liquid44c15,060$6,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,470.6625446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex54c14,332$7,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,689.61,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked Team Yandex17c14,050$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.23731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4d2…629cbacked Team Liquid31c13,320$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,195.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Liquid35c12,918$4,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,351.185048%24 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Liquid77c11,786$9,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.8112858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex68c11,543$7,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8491,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex68c10,429$7,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,127.3380256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…bce7backed Team Liquid29c10,000$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,115.636241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Yandex16c9,420$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.282828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid37c9,407$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,901.8668649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked Team Liquid37c8,834$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,538.045572.7%40 W · 15 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid35c8,413$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.2989749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Liquid38c7,021$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,374.3118950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Yandex53c6,991$3,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.832548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex49c6,569$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.361,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Yandex23c6,524$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.5220030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid41c6,301$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.2918844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid32c5,706$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,901.3341944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Liquid39c5,244$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.6215739.5%62 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex66c5,189$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40053451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid46c5,036$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,726.2222853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid31c5,023$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.751,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid45c4,841$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.0541056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid36c4,714$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.0888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Team Liquid43c4,670$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.5511656%65 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked Team Yandex71c4,255$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00019853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.9856542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Liquid65c3,792$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.727379.5%58 W · 15 L+9.9wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Team Yandex71c3,623$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.245658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Team Yandex65c3,265$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.9222663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid31c3,228$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.6996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid33c3,217$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.3453764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Liquid43c3,156$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.3119456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Yandex59c3,091$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.669852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Yandex69c3,029$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.8961456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid31c3,006$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.3517546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed Team Liquid30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.998834.1%30 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid31c2,938$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.534051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0c…5f05backed Team Liquid37c2,887$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.252245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Team Liquid36c2,828$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.920233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed Team Liquid63c2,800$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03515054.7%82 W · 68 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8495…550ebacked Team Liquid42c2,716$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.89052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid60c2,649$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.6835758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid28c2,646$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.1241242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Yandex60c2,500$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.799556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex70c2,459$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.9456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c7…42e7backed Team Liquid38c2,433$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.3510256.9%58 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid35c2,425$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.4877256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Team Yandex60c2,381$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.723661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid46c2,351$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.9650850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Yandex1c2,316$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.883323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Team Yandex76c2,300$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.121637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Liquid36c2,265$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.6347748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid42c2,249$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.3435850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x826c…cd27backed Team Yandex2c2,237$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Yandex57c2,200$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.9957449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9cf…4319backed Team Yandex67c2,067$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.941250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex40c2,048$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.0547650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid36c2,030$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.0635737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked Team Liquid37c1,994$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.327142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Team Liquid45c1,988$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.3418660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid73c1,976$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6291553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Liquid32c1,943$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.3110245.1%46 W · 56 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…edbebacked Team Yandex62c1,925$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.394837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Yandex68c1,801$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.5122543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8db…ba5fbacked Team Yandex48c1,702$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.453647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Team Liquid39c1,643$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.1310743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Yandex64c1,632$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.9242639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8d9…753abacked Team Liquid36c1,583$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.232766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex58c1,578$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.7796557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08a5…db43backed Team Liquid30c1,572$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.587452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid31c1,500$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.51,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Team Yandex72c1,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08037655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba7…9c8abacked Team Liquid30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0508020%16 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Liquid29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0653256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid36c1,500$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.991,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b08…053bbacked Team Liquid30c1,480$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0362138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex57c1,409$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.671,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Team Liquid35c1,408$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.218830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Team Yandex65c1,376$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89514763.3%93 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Yandex63c1,328$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.1756343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex77c1,314$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.2435960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed Team Yandex37c1,300$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826050%30 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe05…8b13backed Team Liquid54c1,296$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.35939%23 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid35c1,290$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.965441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Team Yandex71c1,280$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.6414657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid67c1,251$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.5930356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b5…205abacked Team Liquid36c1,198$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.0731953.9%172 W · 147 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…186cbacked Team Yandex68c1,189$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.767169%49 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid42c1,177$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.9720642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.